Bitcoin is testing a key demand zone after breaking down from a symmetrical triangle, putting the market at a critical turning point. While buyers may attempt to defend this support and trigger a rebound, a failure to hold could open the door to further downside in the near term.
Bearish Triangle Breakdown Sends Bitcoin Toward Key Liquidity Zone
Minga highlighted that the market has experienced a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, and the price is trending toward the 50% wick fill region of the previous weekly candle, an area containing significant untested liquidity and a long limit order that was previously front-ran. While he expects this long position to be filled, the risk on this trade is minimal at 0.25%, effectively serving as a risk-free hedge against his existing short position.
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Minga maintains a bullish bias for the remainder of the month, but he emphasizes that this outlook requires technical confirmation, specifically a bounce from the $60,700 level. Losing this key support likely invites further downside, bringing the $58,900 level into focus. Given that the daily trend is showing clear signs of exhaustion, Minga views the $60,700–$58,900 range as a high-probability zone for a potential recovery.
However, the analyst cautions that exhaustion does not inherently guarantee a reversal. Market conditions can often result in a slow, grinding decline as the asset hunts for liquidity on both sides, leading to highly choppy price action. This behavior is historically common near major market turning points.
Given that the market is potentially nearing a macro bottom, the possibility of a prolonged, choppy descent cannot be ignored. Should this scenario materialize and the current support zones fail to hold, Minga identifies the $54,500–$49,000 region as the next critical downside target.
$60,800 Remains BTC’s Most Important Battleground
According to analyst @wangtuai888, whose track record includes eight consecutive accurate trend predictions, the market is currently hovering at a decisive juncture. As long as the $60,800 support holds, the asset remains within an uptrend. However, should the price break and close a 1-hour solid candle below $60,800, which marks a critical Point of Control (POC) and a vacuum zone, the analyst anticipates a sharp, immediate decline.
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If the $60,800 support holds, @wangtuai888 expects an initial rebound toward $62,400 to break the previous minor high and shift the local market structure. This would be followed by a pullback to the $61,800 POC, which the analyst identifies as a favorable entry point for long positions.
The strategy then pivots toward a tactical shorting opportunity. The analyst intends to initiate a short position near the 63,000 level, noting that even if a stop-loss is triggered, the high reward-to-risk ratio makes this a worthwhile trade.
Ultimately, the analyst emphasizes that this expected rebound should not be mistaken for a full market reversal. The broader direction remains firmly in a downtrend, and the ultimate price target for this bearish cycle is $55,500.
Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
